On the subject of predicting vs. constructing the future, there’s a great quote in one of Claude Shannon’s papers: “[There is] a duality between past and future and the notions of control and knowledge. Thus we may have knowledge of the past but cannot control it; we may control the future but have no knowledge of it.”
I had made the same point, namely that "the future is constructed, not predicted," just yesterday in a Bluesky thread about forecasts of AI timelines: https://bsky.app/profile/mraginsky.bsky.social/post/3lr7uuytj3k2z
On the subject of predicting vs. constructing the future, there’s a great quote in one of Claude Shannon’s papers: “[There is] a duality between past and future and the notions of control and knowledge. Thus we may have knowledge of the past but cannot control it; we may control the future but have no knowledge of it.”
really cool, thanks for sharing!!